back to Part I: Russian vs German AFVs in WW II
If the Western Allies would not take into consideration, and the Russians had not received the 11,900 armored vehicles by Lend-Lease, and all German armored vehicles of the Wehrmacht, which had been lost in the West and the South, could have been deployed on the Eastern Front a kill-to-loss ratio of 2.45 to 1 is needed to destroy all 23,300 Russian AFVs on 22 June 1941 plus all 99,150 vehicles built during the war (a total of 122,450 AFVs). This figure is well below the actual ratio of 2.91 to 1 achieved on the Eastern Front during World War II.
Could the Red Army have won the war alone?
This kill-to-loss ratio destroys another recent myth, which has recently come again into fashion, which refers to the situation on the Eastern Front. It is said that the Russians could have won the Second World War without any support from the US or Commonwealth forces, above all because of their large quantity of produced T-34 tanks.
This assertion is untenable, as is shown by the loss ratio – and even before the increased production in Germany had been taken into account, because of the absence of the Allied bombing war. At the same time, the increasing German air superiority on the Eastern Front from 1943 on would have acted, while the Red Army would have been deprived of half of its motorized transport, which consisted of Lend-Lease vehicles.
The 9,000 to 10,000 88mm Flak guns, which would not have been necessary to defend Germany against Allied air raids, could have been used as an effective anti-tank force on the Eastern Front.
In addition, e.g. tor the approximately 1,000 then non-necessary German U-boats, other war materials – such as tanks – could have been produced.
|Month||Russian production||Russian losses||German production||German losses (on all fronts)|
|Dec 1941||900 (total 6,274 in 1941)||1,600 (total 23,800)||?||?|
|TOTAL 1941||6,274||23,800||3,796 (incl SP-guns)||2,853 (on all fronts)|
|TOTAL 1942||24,690||16,000||6,189 incl SP-guns||3,105 on all fronts incl SP-guns)|
|Feb 1943||1,800||1,000||460||1,810 (Stalingrad plus 350 Panzer I out of service)|
|May 1943||2,000||less than 100||1,100||310|
|June 1943||2,000||less than 100||790||40|
|TOTAL 1943||24,006||16,200||10,747 incl SP-guns||8,992 on all fronts incl SP-guns|
|TOTAL 1944||28,933||19,800||18,284 incl SP-guns||12,079 incl SP-guns on all fronts)|
|Jan 1945||2,900||4,000||1,690||1,220 (total 1,433 incl SP-guns in Jan 1945 on all fronts)|
|Feb 1945||2,900||4,100||1,200 (total 2,931 incl SP-guns until Feb 1945)||?|
|UNTIL JUNE 1945||26,297||20,600||?||?|